Results from Saint Anselm College show former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley gaining on former President Donald Trump in the first-in-the-nation Republican primary.
There’s always a qualifier for polls, as they’re just a snapshot in time and they have a margin of error.
But the Saint Anselm College Survey Center polled more than 1,700 likely New Hampshire voters on Sunday and Monday, and it shows Republican front-runner Trump at 44% and Haley at 30%, just 14 percentage points behind.
Support for Haley has doubled since the last poll, while Trump is holding steady.
It’s important to note that this poll was conducted five and six days after Gov. Chris Sununu’s endorsement of Haley.
There’s a big gap separating Trump and Haley from the rest of the pack.
Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie is at 12%, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is at 6%, and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy is at 5%.
“She’s definitely moving up and moving up quickly and she has enough time to catch up, at this point. This is the really significant finding here that if anyone is on the move, it’s Nikki Haley,” said Neil Levesque, of the New Hampshire Institute of Politics.
The poll also covered the Democratic primary.
President Joe Biden, who will be on the ballot through a write-in campaign, is at 50%, Congressman Dean Phillips is at 10% and Marianne Williamson is at 7%.
The bottom line is that this could be one of the first signs that the Republican primary is entering a more dynamic phase after being relatively frozen in place for several months.
It would appear from the rate of increase for Haley, her trajectory, that she could continue to gain on Trump over the next 34 days.